Euro Continuation Prospects after Fresh Highs



Euro is up greater than 3.5% off the yearly lows with the advance breaking by way of month-to-month open resistance at this time in New York commerce. Here are the up to date targets and invalidation ranges that matter on the EUR/USD charts this week. Review this week’s Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this setup and extra.

EUR/USD Daily Price Chart

EUR/USD Price Chart - Daily

Technical Outlook: Euro broke above confluence slope resistance yesterday round ~1.1660 with the rally now besting the August opening-range highs. Note that every day RSI has damaged again above the previous help set off with every day momentum stretching into highs not seen since February. Seasonal tendencies (heading into September) favor Euro strength and the main target stays weighted to the topside in value whereas above 1.1510/29.

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EUR/USD 120min Price Chart

EUR/USD Price Chart - 120min

Notes: In final week’s EUR/USD Scalp Report, our backside line famous that, “From a buying and selling standpoint, the instant risk could also be for a pullback however the outlook stays constructive whereas above the weekly open for now. I’ll favor fading weak spot concentrating on a topside breach of this pivot vary.” Price broke above the 1.1529 resistance pivot within the following days with a pullback and subsequent reversal additional validating our directional bias.

Euro has continued to commerce inside this near-term ascending channel off the month-to-month lows with the higher parallel highlighting instant topside targets alongside the July high-day shut at 1.1750 and the 38.2% retracement / July excessive at 1.1780/91. Interim help now rests at 1.1650 with near-term bullish invalidation raised to 1.1614.

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Bottom line: Euro has damaged above the August open / month-to-month opening vary highs and retains the main target greater into the shut of the month. That mentioned, value has now prolonged greater for the third consecutive day and from a buying and selling standpoint, we’re searching for near-term weak spot to supply extra favorable long-entries whereas inside this near-term formation. Look for an even bigger response on a rally into key near-term resistance at 1.1780/90.

For an entire breakdown of Michael’s buying and selling technique, evaluate his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy

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EUR/USD Trader Sentiment

EUR/USD Trader Sentiment

  • A abstract of IG Client Sentiment reveals merchants are net-short EUR/USD – the ratio stands at -1.33 (42.9% of merchants are lengthy) – weak bullishstudying
  • traders have remained net-short since August 21st; value has moved 1.3% greater since then
  • Long positions are7.2% decrease than yesterday and 10.0% decrease from final week
  • Short positions are 6.1% greater than yesterday and 8.5% greater from final week
  • We sometimes take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the actual fact merchants are net-short suggests EUR/USD costs might proceed to rise. Traders are additional net-short than yesterday and final week, and the mix of present positioning and up to date modifications offers us a stronger EUR/USD-bullish contrarian buying and selling bias from a sentiment standpoint.

See how shifts in EUR/USD retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!

Relevant EUR/USD Economic Data Releases

EUR/USD Economic Calendar

Economic Calendarlatest economic developments and upcoming occasion risk. Learn extra about how we Trade the News in our Free Guide!

Trade Setups in Play

– Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex or contact him at [email protected]


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